Monday 23 December 2013

Decision time?

My gold investing hasn't gone too well so far!
I think I need to remind myself why I have been buying the stuff. Either my reasoning will still feel valid and stop that dull pain I get when I remember I own this plummeting-priced asset... or I it will appear wrong-headed and I will need to re-evaluate what I am doing.



One of my reasons for buying gold was the possibility that it could rise in value if my income and my home fall in value. An attempt, I suppose, to turn my job, home and investments into an 'absolute return' fund - which sounds horrible and ambitious at the same time.

Sunday 15 December 2013

Sebastian Lyon on gold and BBC on the Fed

Personal Assets Trust: http://www.investegate.co.uk/personal-assets-tst---pnl-/rns/half-yearly-report/201311211642576716T/

"Recent weakness in the price of gold has been unwelcome, but just because an insurance policy does not pay out for one year in thirteen it does not mean we should not hold it. The opportunity cost of holding gold is now low. Negative real interest rates are here to stay. Beggar-my-neighbour policies, reminiscent of the 1930s, instigated by central banks to keep their currencies competitive will lead to an on-going debasement of paper currencies. The rigging of financial markets by central banks will not end well. Gold, therefore, is not a short term trade but long term portfolio insurance."

I don't know if I should be buying something.

Just listening to this too:  http://www.bbc.co.uk/radio4/  Simon Jack



Thursday 12 September 2013

PNL Personal Assets Trust - some guidance on why I own gold

There were two views on the gold price dropping down today (PHGP down 2.5%):

- on the one hand the gold bugs point to a 'paper-based' assault on the gold price last night: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-09-12/vicious-gold-slamdown-breaks-gold-market-20-seconds?source=email_rt_mc_body&app=n

- on the other hand the gold doubters point to the increasing likelihood of the Federal Reserve tapering off its quantitative easing. In this BullionVault piece analysts suspect more price falls with little chance of this being offset by Indian Jewellery buying or inflation picking up
 https://goldnews.bullionvault.com/gold-price-091220131

Sebastian Lyon at Personal Assets Trust (PNL) said in an interim management statement (August 16):

Tuesday 6 August 2013

BlackRock Gold and General 6% spread

According to Hargreaves Lansdown the bid offer spread on BlackRock Gold and General fund was 858.10p to buy, 810.00p to sell - that's a spread of nearly 6 per cent - I'm not sure what it usually is.

Friday 2 August 2013

Cash in waiting

I put more money in my account this morning. But I am now down about £2,000.



I now want to make a judgement about buying more gold. I think I'm clear about why I own it but it's not a conviction and I have to remind myself why I'm doing it otherwise I get confused.

Tuesday 23 July 2013

Indian gold tax effects

Hebba Investments writing at Seeking Alpha about India's war on gold and the unintended consequences - a more interesting story than most.

Watch the Rupee strength against the dollar because:

"depending on the amount of gold imported through unofficial channels, this policy may not even solve the CAD (current account deficit) problems experienced by the government because rupees will still be exchanged for other currencies to buy gold - it just will not be registered with government officials. One of the things investors should do is to keep an eye on the rupee-dollar exchange rate, if it continues to weaken that may be a sign that government policies are not working and large amounts of gold are still entering India through illegal imports.

In the meantime I haven't made any changes to my portfolio - some of the losses have lessened and I haven't got the money or the will to add any more at the moment.

Monday 15 July 2013

Gold investment - should my goal posts be moved?

Crumbs! This is what my gold investment portfolio looks like this morning.


I knew it would be bad and I'm not sure if this is worse than I expected.

It's not a reassuring signal to myself that I know what I'm doing. Did I buy gold for the right reasons and have they changed?

Monday 15 April 2013

Buy or sell as gold price plummets?

Can I really make a sensible decision about whether to buy or sell now?

I've got about £1000 standing by but I'm not sure I'm aiming to buy anything yet, or sell anything.... but I might have changed my mind by tomorrow.



 My small portfolio, which now includes one share of Personal Assets Trusts (PNL), looks pretty shredded at the moment.